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Myth or Reality - the Skills Development Act destroyed the apprenticeship learning system - Empirically based Workforce Planning

The Human Sciences Research Council has recently released an HRD Data Warehouse of critical information essential for all companies embarking on workforce planning initiatives

The HRD Data Warehouse contains research on the broad areas of education, employment and skills in South Africa. Information is available in the form of documents that may be viewed and downloaded, tables of summarised statistics and information on various databases.

The HRD Data Warehouse may be accessed by following this URL: http://hrdwarehouse.hsrc.ac.za or, if this link is not operational, by visiting the HSRC homepage http://www.hsrc.ac.za/

The importance of accessing this database to inform your workforce planning or employment equity initiatives cannot be overemphasised. It will also serve to overcome typical myths which have existed about the South African workplace for many years.

To read more about or to register for the Workinfo.com Workforce and Succession Planning course – click here.

One simple illustration of this is to explore the issue of apprenticeships. Many have held the view that the introduction of learnerships and the associated Skills Development Act undermined the very successful apprenticeship learning system. We need only look at the list of Critical and Scarce skills lists published by DOL to realise that many of the artisan trades listed therein we developed through the apprenticeship training system.

So was the SDA legislation to blame? The simple answer is No.

Apprenticeships have been on the decline since the late 1980's. Viewing the data available from the HRD Data Warehouse, the following picture emerges:

Using the data in the table above, when doing an age analysis, the following interesting facts emerge:- 

Year No. of qualified apprenticeships Probable age of qualified apprenticeships in 2008 (assuming average age was 20 yrs when qualified)

1970

5500

58

 

 

1971

6050

57

 

 

1972

7000

56

 

 

1973

7000

55

 

 

1974

8000

54

 

 

1975

8050

53

 

 

1976

8050

52

 

 

1977

8500

51

 

 

1978

9500

50

67650

25%

1979

9600

49

 

 

1980

10000

48

 

 

1981

10500

47

 

 

1982

11000

46

 

 

1983

12000

45

 

 

1984

12000

44

 

 

1985

13500

43

 

 

1986

13100

42

 

 

1987

13000

41

 

 

1988

11000

40

123700

46%

1989

8000

39

 

 

1990

7500

38

 

 

1991

7200

37

 

 

1992

8000

36

 

 

1993

9550

35

 

 

1994

7000

34

 

 

1995

5000

33

 

 

1996

3000

32

 

 

1997

4874

31

 

 

1998

4933

30

65057

24%

1999

5145

29

 

 

2000

5600

28

 

 

2001

3191

27

 

 

2002

2916

26

 

 

2003

2779

25

 

 

2004

2548

24

22179

8%

 

 

 

 

 

Total

270,586

 

 

 

  Some preliminary conclusions

  • 25% of all qualified apprentices are 50yrs or older and therefore will be leaving the labour market in 10 to 15 years

  • 46% of … all qualified apprentices are now aged between 40 and 50 years.

  • Therefore, 71% of all qualified apprentices of the total intake for the period 1970 - 2004 will be retiring over the next 20 years.

  • Only 8% of apprentices are aged between 24 and 30yrs.

 Unless planning is put in place now, within 15 years we will start feeling the drastic skills shortage in this sector. Thanks to the innovative thinking of the Minister of Finance, the new SDA Act will reinvigorate apprenticeship scheme along with SARS budget plans. [To view the new SDA Bill, click here]

An even more disturbing feature is the decline in of apprenticeships in specific high growth and critical economic sectors

The question then, is now having access to this data what measures is your organisation putting in place to ensure that it has the right people in the right place for the next 5 - 10 years?

To read more about or to register for the Workinfo.com Workforce and Succession Planning course – click here.

 

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